78.22°N, 15.65°E · Northern Hemisphere · Updated 24 seconds ago
Look toward the northern horizon. Cloud cover is 84% right now.
Geomagnetic activity would normally be enough, but heavy clouds (84%) are blocking the sky at this location.
Skies are overcast — any aurora will be completely hidden unless the clouds clear.
The strongest window in the next 72 hours looks to be around Fri, May 1 · 00:00 UTC, at about 100% cloud-adjusted visibility.
We combine three inputs to produce a single cloud-adjusted visibility probability:
NOAA SWPC's 3-hour geomagnetic activity forecast — how strong the aurora-driving storms are.
The boundary 66.5° − 2.5 · Kp — the lowest latitude where aurora is normally visible.
Open-Meteo's hourly cloud cover for your location. Heavy clouds reduce visibility proportionally.