Will I see the aurora tonight from Murmansk?

There is currently a 54% chance of seeing the aurora from Murmansk.

What is the Kp index and how does it affect aurora visibility from Murmansk?

The Kp index measures geomagnetic activity on a 0-9 scale. Higher values push the auroral oval further toward the equator. Murmansk, Russia's aurora chances grow as Kp rises above 5 (G1 minor storm).

Likely tonight

Murmansk· Russia

68.97°N, 33.1°E · Northern Hemisphere · Updated 3 minutes ago

Chance of aurora right now

54%

Likely

Look toward the northern horizon. Cloud cover is 46% right now.

Key metrics

Geomagnetic Kp: 4.7; Active
Auroral boundary: 54.8°; Equator-most latitude where aurora is visible
Cloud cover: 46%; Partly cloudy
Best window: Fri, Sep 18 · 00:00 UTC; 100% at in 2 days
Direction to look: North; Toward the northern horizon
Hemisphere: Northern; Aurora Borealis

What this means

Aurora is likely visible right now from this location. Look toward the northern horizon for the best view.

Some cloud cover is present but viewing is still workable.

The strongest window in the next 72 hours looks to be around Fri, Sep 18 · 00:00 UTC, at about 100% cloud-adjusted visibility.

72-hour forecast

Tue, Sep 15
21:00 UTC
54%
46%
Wed, Sep 16
00:00 UTC
65%
35%
Wed, Sep 16
03:00 UTC
49%

How we forecast

We combine three inputs to produce a single cloud-adjusted visibility probability:

Kp index
NOAA SWPC's 3-hour geomagnetic activity forecast — how strong the aurora-driving storms are.
Auroral oval
The boundary 66.5° − 2.5 · Kp — the lowest latitude where aurora is normally visible.
Local clouds
Open-Meteo's hourly cloud cover for your location. Heavy clouds reduce visibility proportionally.

Other aurora cities

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