Will I see the aurora tonight from Hobart?

There is currently a 0% chance of seeing the aurora from Hobart.

What is the Kp index and how does it affect aurora visibility from Hobart?

The Kp index measures geomagnetic activity on a 0-9 scale. Higher values push the auroral oval further toward the equator. Hobart, Australia's aurora chances grow as Kp rises above 5 (G1 minor storm).

Unlikely

Hobart· Australia

42.88°S, 147.33°E · Southern Hemisphere · Updated 14 minutes ago

Chance of aurora right now

Unlikely

Look toward the southern horizon. Cloud cover is 58% right now.

Key metrics

Geomagnetic Kp: 4.7; Active
Auroral boundary: 54.8°; Equator-most latitude where aurora is visible
Cloud cover: 58%; Mostly cloudy
Best window: —; No window in forecast
Direction to look: South; Toward the southern horizon
Hemisphere: Southern; Aurora Australis

What this means

The current Kp value isn't high enough for aurora to reach this latitude. Watch the 72-hour forecast below for upcoming storms.

Heavy cloud cover (58%) will reduce visibility even if aurora is active overhead.

72-hour forecast

Sun, Jun 14
03:00 UTC
0%
66%
Sun, Jun 14
06:00 UTC
0%
30%
Sun, Jun 14
09:00 UTC
0%

How we forecast

We combine three inputs to produce a single cloud-adjusted visibility probability:

Kp index
NOAA SWPC's 3-hour geomagnetic activity forecast — how strong the aurora-driving storms are.
Auroral oval
The boundary 66.5° − 2.5 · Kp — the lowest latitude where aurora is normally visible.
Local clouds
Open-Meteo's hourly cloud cover for your location. Heavy clouds reduce visibility proportionally.

Other aurora cities

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