Will I see the aurora tonight from Kiruna?

There is currently a 80% chance of seeing the aurora from Kiruna.

What is the Kp index and how does it affect aurora visibility from Kiruna?

The Kp index measures geomagnetic activity on a 0-9 scale. Higher values push the auroral oval further toward the equator. Kiruna, Sweden's aurora chances grow as Kp rises above 5 (G1 minor storm).

Very likely

Kiruna· Sweden

67.86°N, 20.23°E · Northern Hemisphere · Updated 7 minutes ago

Chance of aurora right now

80%

Very likely

Look toward the northern horizon. Cloud cover is 0% right now.

Key metrics

Geomagnetic Kp: 2.7; Quiet
Auroral boundary: 59.8°; Equator-most latitude where aurora is visible
Cloud cover: 0%; Clear
Best window: Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 UTC; 100% at in 3 hours
Direction to look: North; Toward the northern horizon
Hemisphere: Northern; Aurora Borealis

What this means

Aurora is likely visible right now from this location. Look toward the northern horizon for the best view.

Cloud cover is minimal — skies are clear for viewing.

The strongest window in the next 72 hours looks to be around Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 UTC, at about 100% cloud-adjusted visibility.

72-hour forecast

Sun, Nov 1
12:00 UTC
100%
0%
Sun, Nov 1
15:00 UTC
96%
1%
Sun, Nov 1
18:00 UTC
89%

How we forecast

We combine three inputs to produce a single cloud-adjusted visibility probability:

Kp index
NOAA SWPC's 3-hour geomagnetic activity forecast — how strong the aurora-driving storms are.
Auroral oval
The boundary 66.5° − 2.5 · Kp — the lowest latitude where aurora is normally visible.
Local clouds
Open-Meteo's hourly cloud cover for your location. Heavy clouds reduce visibility proportionally.

Other aurora cities

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